Lindeman’s Framboise Raspberry Lambic Is My Favorite

Lindeman’s Framboise Raspberry Lambic Is My Favorite

I haven’t won my bet with Julian quite yet, but the winds seem to be blowing my direction:

President Bush’s nomination of John R. Bolton as ambassador to the United Nations appears increasingly endangered in the Senate, prompting the administration to explore other ways to keep him in the job after his temporary appointment expires in January, officials said yesterday.

The situation represents a sharp turnaround from two weeks ago, when the White House was confident it could finally push through Bolton’s long-stalled nomination. But last week’s surprise move by Sen. Lincoln D. Chafee (R-R.I.) to delay a vote convinced Republicans on Capitol Hill that the nomination may be doomed, prompting a search for alternatives.

Administration officials said they have not given up. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice called Chafee yesterday to kick off a lobbying campaign that will continue today when he returns to Washington after his hard-fought Republican primary victory in Rhode Island on Tuesday.

Bush and national Republicans pulled out the stops to help Chafee win the primary, and they expect a payback. But with Chafee now preparing to face a strong Democratic challenger in a Democratic state in November, many Republicans said he has less incentive to support a firebrand figure such as Bolton.

“It’s dead as far as the Senate is concerned,” said one Republican official at the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, where Chafee holds the decisive vote. “Chafee made it a 9 to 9 vote, and that’s not going to change.” A Senate Republican leadership aide added: “Chafee holds Bolton’s future in his hands, and people are very worried he’s going to squeeze and never let go.”

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Isn’t it the case that tie votes are usually sent to the Senate floor? (Robert Bork’s nomination was defeated in committee but still went to the full Senate) I also believe the majority leader (who supports Bolton so strongly he has set up a blog devoted solely to geting him confirmed) can bring a nomination forward even absent committee approval (I am somewhat uncertain on this point).

However, who wins the bet if Bolton receives another recess appointment and manages to stay in office for the rest of Bush’s term, even without Senate confirmation?

Matthew Gross
Matthew Gross

He’s just going to get another recess appointment. Given 2006 elections just around the corner, I don’t see why the administration even feels it’s worth risking any of the vulnerable senators on such a controversial and meaningless vote.